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      Italian Bank Quarterly: strengthening business models amid less favourable earnings outlook

      18/11/2024 Research EN

      Italian Bank Quarterly: strengthening business models amid less favourable earnings outlook

      Italian banks have revised their 2024 earnings forecasts after strong nine-month results underpinned by resilient net interest income, a rebound in fees, and solid credit quality. Lenders are now focused on stabilising profits through the rate cycle.

      Divergent household strategies to optimise borrowing costs may put financial stability at risk

      18/11/2024 Research EN

      Divergent household strategies to optimise borrowing costs may put financial stability at risk

      Homeowners in some European markets prefer floating-rate mortgages while others prefer longer-dated fixed interest rates. Given that borrowing costs are all linked to the same ECB rates, this is somewhat counter intuitive.

      Car finance exposures will have moderate impact on UK banks rated by Scope

      7/11/2024 Research EN

      Car finance exposures will have moderate impact on UK banks rated by Scope

      The recent UK Court of Appeal ruling in favour of consumers on undisclosed commissions on car finance is expected to have a moderate impact on UK banks rated by Scope, reducing profits at some banks but not posing systemic risk.

      Covered Bond Quarterly: Reviving publicly guaranteed collateral could boost European competitiveness

      29/10/2024 Research EN

      Covered Bond Quarterly: Reviving publicly guaranteed collateral could boost European competitiveness

      With sovereign credit quality reflecting fiscal and economic challenges, the Draghi report offered valuable insights into how to address some structural issues facing the euro area. But the report was notably silent on the contribution of covered bonds.

      DNB’s acquisition of Carnegie enhances business model and Nordic footprint

      29/10/2024 Research EN

      DNB’s acquisition of Carnegie enhances business model and Nordic footprint

      DNB’s acquisition of Carnegie, subject to regulatory approval, marks a strategic move that strengthens the Norwegian lender’s business model while opening up growth opportunities in the Nordic region.

      What Frederick the Great might have told Mario Draghi about covered bonds

      24/10/2024 Research EN

      What Frederick the Great might have told Mario Draghi about covered bonds

      In 1769, Frederick the Great, King of Prussia, introduced the legal basis for an instrument that developed into Germany’s Pfandbrief, the forerunner of all covered bonds. How would he have reacted to the Draghi report on European competitiveness?

      Government divestment of bank stakes could revitalise European bank M&A

      16/10/2024 Research EN

      Government divestment of bank stakes could revitalise European bank M&A

      UniCredit’s stake build in Commerzbank has highlighted that governments still hold stakes in their national champions. Selling them offers bank buyers a unique opportunity to reinforce their positions in foreign markets or enter new markets at scale.

      European Bank Capital Quarterly: Basel 3 implementation imminent, refinements likely

      11/10/2024 Research EN

      European Bank Capital Quarterly: Basel 3 implementation imminent, refinements likely

      Within two months, most European banks will be subject to final Basel 3 standards aimed at strengthening the resilience and stability of banks. We do not expect further major changes to the regulatory framework although there are likely to be refinements.

      EU banks: NPL ratio stable in Q2 but modest asset-quality deterioration to persist

      4/10/2024 Research EN

      EU banks: NPL ratio stable in Q2 but modest asset-quality deterioration to persist

      The consolidated non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of EU banks remained stable at a low level of 1.86% in the second quarter despite a rise in total NPLs to EUR 373.4bn, reflecting underlying volume growth.

      UniCredit: Commerzbank takeover unlikely without German government approval

      25/9/2024 Research EN

      UniCredit: Commerzbank takeover unlikely without German government approval

      UniCredit is pursuing a growth strategy to create a pan-European banking leader, but political resistance to cross-border consolidation remains strong.