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      Scope has completed a monitoring review of BCC NPLs 2018 S.r.l. – Italian NPL ABS
      FRIDAY, 13/05/2022 - Scope Ratings GmbH
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      Scope has completed a monitoring review of BCC NPLs 2018 S.r.l. – Italian NPL ABS

      No action has been taken on class A and class B notes issued by BCC NPLs 2018 S.r.l. following the monitoring review.

      Scope Ratings GmbH (Scope) monitors and reviews its credit ratings on an ongoing basis and at least annually, or every six months in the case of sovereigns, sub-sovereigns and supranational organisations.

      Scope performs monitoring reviews to determine whether material changes and/or changes in macroeconomic or financial market conditions could have an impact on the credit ratings. Scope considers all available and relevant information when undertaking the monitoring review.

      Monitoring reviews are conducted by performing a peer comparison, benchmarking against the rating-change drivers, and/or reviewing the credit ratings’ performance over time, as deemed appropriate by the Lead Analyst or Analytical Team Head, in addition to an assessment of all aspects of the relevant methodologies, including key rating assumptions and models. Scope publicly announces the completion of each monitoring review on its website.

      Scope completed the monitoring review for BCC NPLs 2018 S.r.l. on 6 May 2022. The credit ratings remain as follow:

      Class A (ISIN IT0005338717), EUR 188,522,348 current balance: B+SF

      Class B (ISIN IT0005338741), EUR 31,400,000 current balance: CSF

      Class J (ISIN IT0005338758), EUR 10,460,000 current balance: not rated

      BCC NPLs 2018 S.r.l. is a static cash securitisation of secured and unsecured non-performing loans (NPLs) that were extended to companies and individuals in Italy. The loans were originated by 21 Italian cooperative banks coordinated by Iccrea S.p.A. and two banks belonging to ICCREA Banca S.p.A. The transaction closed on 10 July 2018 and the legal maturity is in June 2038.

      The review was conducted considering available servicer reports, payment reports and investor reports up to the December 2021 payment date. This monitoring note does not constitute a credit rating action, nor does it indicate the likelihood that Scope will conduct a credit rating action in the short term. Information about the latest credit rating action connected with this monitoring note along with the associated rating history can be found on www.scoperatings.com.

      Key rating factors

      As of 31 December 2021, aggregate gross collections were EUR 128.9m, which is 66.6% of the original business plan gross expectations up to that date (EUR 193.5m). Total gross collections are split between judicial proceeds (42.9%), discounted payoff proceeds (22.2%), note sales proceeds (33.9%) and other types of collections that are not yet classified (1%). Around 39.3% of the total gross collections stem from open debtors (i.e. debtors for which the recovery process is still ongoing).

      Interest on class B is subordinated to payment of class A principal if either the net cumulative collection ratio falls below 90% of the servicers’ business plan target or the net present value profitability ratio falls below 90%. This ratio is curable, and once is cured, all accrued and unpaid interest are distributed senior to class A principal payments. As per the last payment date, the class B interest subordination event occurred, as the net cumulative collection ratio and the net present value profitability ratio were at 67.2% and 89.4%, respectively. Class A amortised by 33.2 % since the issuance date.

      The ratings consider the issuer’s exposure to key counterparties.

      CREDIT-POSITIVE (+)

      Cumulative collections. Aggregate gross and net collections have outpaced Scope’s timing expectations under class A analysis.

      Recovery Expenses. Recovery expenses stand about 6% of gross collections, below Scope original assumptions.

      CREDIT-NEGATIVE (-)

      Closed debtors’ profitability based on Scope’s assumptions: The servicer has closed a material share of borrowers accounting for 26% (of the transaction’s initial GBV) with a low profitability of 59.3% relative to Scope’s original B case assumptions.

      Inflation induced economic slowdown: High inflation on the back of soaring energy and commodity prices combined with tighter monetary policy could see recession risk increase substantially. Thus, deteriorated liquidity conditions could reduce the servicer’s performance on collections. Scope has recently reduced its growth projections for Italian economy in 2022 from 4.5% to 4.1%.

      The methodologies applicable for the reviewed rating (General Structured Finance Rating Methodology, 17 December 2021; Non-Performing Loan ABS Methodology, 6 August 2021; Methodology for Counterparty Risk in Structured Finance, 13 July 2021) are available on https://scoperatings.com/governance-and-policies/rating-governance/methodologies.
      This monitoring note is issued by Scope Ratings GmbH, Lennéstraße 5, D-10785 Berlin, Tel +49 30 27891-0.
      Lead analyst Rossella Ghidoni, Director

      © 2022 Scope SE & Co. KGaA and all its subsidiaries including Scope Ratings GmbH, Scope Ratings UK Limited, Scope Analysis GmbH, Scope Investor Services GmbH, and Scope ESG Analysis GmbH (collectively, Scope). All rights reserved. The information and data supporting Scope’s ratings, rating reports, rating opinions and related research and credit opinions originate from sources Scope considers to be reliable and accurate. Scope does not, however, independently verify the reliability and accuracy of the information and data. Scope’s ratings, rating reports, rating opinions, or related research and credit opinions are provided ‘as is’ without any representation or warranty of any kind. In no circumstance shall Scope or its directors, officers, employees and other representatives be liable to any party for any direct, indirect, incidental or other damages, expenses of any kind, or losses arising from any use of Scope’s ratings, rating reports, rating opinions, related research or credit opinions. Ratings and other related credit opinions issued by Scope are, and have to be viewed by any party as, opinions on relative credit risk and not a statement of fact or recommendation to purchase, hold or sell securities. Past performance does not necessarily predict future results. Any report issued by Scope is not a prospectus or similar document related to a debt security or issuing entity. Scope issues credit ratings and related research and opinions with the understanding and expectation that parties using them will assess independently the suitability of each security for investment or transaction purposes. Scope’s credit ratings address relative credit risk, they do not address other risks such as market, liquidity, legal, or volatility. The information and data included herein is protected by copyright and other laws. To reproduce, transmit, transfer, disseminate, translate, resell, or store for subsequent use for any such purpose the information and data contained herein, contact Scope Ratings GmbH at Lennéstraße 5 D-10785 Berlin. 

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