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      Scope upgrades BBVA-10 PYME FT to AAA (SF) – Spanish SME ABS
      TUESDAY, 13/12/2016 - Scope Ratings GmbH
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      Scope upgrades BBVA-10 PYME FT to AAA (SF) – Spanish SME ABS

      Scope Ratings upgrades the senior tranche of BBVA-10 PYME FT to AAA (SF) from AA- (SF) as a result of robust collateral performance and faster-than-expected amortisation. EUR 562.3m of debt is affected.

      The rating actions on the notes issued by BBVA-10 PYME, FT are as follows:

      Series A (ISIN: ES0305110001), upgrade to AAASF from AA-SF
      Series B (ISIN: ES0305110019), affirmation at B+SF

      Rating rationale

      The Series A upgrade to AAA reflects the good collateral performance and the faster-than-expected portfolio amortisation. The amortisation of the strictly sequential notes resulted in an increase of the tranche’s credit enhancement to 39.5% from 28.5% at closing. Scope maintains a positive outlook on the economic recovery in Spain. The tranche’s short weighted average life of 1.7 years (initially 2.2 years) reflects positively on the rating. Total delinquencies (i.e. more than 1 day) are low, at 1.5% of the current portfolio balance; '90+ days past due' delinquencies are low at 0.18%, as of 31 October 2016. In addition, the rating factors in the counterparty risk exposure to BBVA SA (A/S-1/Stable Outlook) as servicer, account bank and paying agent. Counterparty risk is mitigated by the credit quality of the bank, the effective replacement of the bank at the loss of BBB, and the notes’ short remaining life.

      The affirmation of the rating on the Series B notes primarily reflects the good performance of the underlying collateral and the credit enhancement of 6.9% of the outstanding portfolio balance, up from 5% at closing. BBVA holds the fully funded reserve fund, the only source of credit enhancement of the tranche. Scope assumes the Spanish economic recovery will continue in the short term, although long-term uncertainty remains, mainly because of labour market and fiscal imbalances.

      Portfolio performance

      Fast amortisation. The portfolio has amortised to 72.1% of the initial balance during the first 11 months of the transaction's life, which includes a prepayment rate from closing of 13.1%. The outstanding portfolio remains granular with 3,358 exposures. Scope expects the amortisation to slow down.

      Low delinquencies. Total delinquencies (i.e. more than one day in arrears) are low at 1.5% of the outstanding balance as of 31 October 2016, of which 50.6% are delinquent for less than 30 days and have a high likelihood of being cured. No defaults have been recorded to date due to the long default definiton of 18 months; there are no subjective defaults.

      Scope has received monthly transaction-performance reporting for the 11 months since closing.

      Quantitative assumptions

      Scope analysed the transaction with the same modelling assumptions as at closing, but adjusted for portfolio amortisation and the reduction in average portfolio interest. Transaction modelling details are provided in the rating report, which was published at closing and is freely available at our website, www.scoperatings.com.

      Notes

      BBVA-10 PYME, FT is a EUR 780.0m cash flow securitisation of secured and unsecured credits to small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). BBVA SA originated the assets to finance the regular business needs of customers in Spain. The transaction closed on 16 December 2015 and has a legal maturity of 20 January 2048.

      Legal and regulatory disclosures

      Important information
      Information pursuant to Regulation (EC) No 1060/2009 on credit rating agencies, as amended by Regulations (EU) No. 513/2011 and (EU) No. 462/2013

      Responsibility
      The party responsible for the dissemination of the financial analysis is Scope Ratings AG, Berlin, District Court for Berlin (Charlottenburg) HRB 161306 B, Executive Board: Torsten Hinrichs (CEO), Dr. Stefan Bund, Dr. Sven Janssen.
      The rating analysis has been prepared by Sebastian Dietzsch, Lead Analyst. Guillaume Jolivet, Committee Chair, is the analyst responsible for approving the rating.

      Rating history
      Instrument; ISIN;  Date;  Rating action Rating
      ES0305110001;  09.12.2015; Preliminary; (P) AA-SF
      ES0305110019;  09.12.2015; Preliminary; (P) B+SF
      ES0305110001;  16.12.2015; Initial;  AA-SF
      ES0305110019:  16.12.2015; Initial;  B+SF

      Information on interests and conflicts of interest
      The rating was prepared independently by Scope Ratings but for a fee based on a mandate of the issuer of the investment, represented by the management company.
      As at the time of the analysis, neither Scope Ratings AG nor companies affiliated with it hold any interests in the rated entity or in companies directly or indirectly affiliated to it. Likewise, neither the rated entity nor companies directly or indirectly affiliated with it hold any interests in Scope Ratings AG or any companies affiliated to it. Neither the rating agency, the rating analysts who participated in this rating, nor any other persons who participated in the provision of the rating and/or its approval hold, either directly or indirectly, any shares in the rated entity or in third parties affiliated to it. Notwithstanding this, it is permitted for the above-mentioned persons to hold interests through shares in diversified undertakings for collective investment, including managed funds such as pension funds or life insurance companies, pursuant to EU Rating Regulation (EC) No 1060/2009. Neither Scope Ratings nor companies affiliated with it are involved in the brokering or distribution of capital investment products. In principle, there is a possibility that family relationships may exist between the personnel of Scope Ratings and that of the rated entity. However, no persons for whom a conflict of interests could exist due to family relationships or other close relationships will participate in the preparation or approval of a rating.

      Key sources of information for the rating
      Monthly transaction performance reports for the period from the closing date to 31 October 2016.
      Scope Ratings considers the quality of the available information on the evaluated entity to be satisfactory. Scope ensured as far as possible that the sources are reliable before drawing upon them, but did not verify each item of information specified in the sources independently.

      Examination of the rating by the rated entity prior to publication
      Prior to publication, the rated entity was given the opportunity to examine the rating and the rating drivers, including the principal grounds on which the credit rating or rating outlook is based. The rated entity was subsequently provided with at least one full working day, to point out any factual errors, or to appeal the rating decision and deliver additional material information. Following that examination, the rating was not modified.

      Methodology
      The methodology applicable for this rating is “SME ABS Rating Methodology”, dated June 2016 and the ‘Methodology for Counterparty Risk in Structured Finance’, dated August 2016. Both files are available on www.scoperatings.com. The historical default rates of Scope Ratings can be viewed on the central platform (CEREP) of the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA): http://cerep.esma.europa.eu/cerep-web/statistics/defaults.xhtml. A comprehensive clarification of Scope’s default rating, definitions of rating notations and further information on the analysis components of a rating can be found in the documents on methodologies on the rating agency’s website.

      Conditions of use / exclusion of liability
      © 2016 Scope Corporation AG and all its subsidiaries including Scope Ratings AG, Scope Analysis, Scope Investor Services GmbH (collectively, Scope). All rights reserved. The information and data supporting Scope’s ratings, rating reports, rating opinions and related research and credit opinions originate from sources Scope considers to be reliable and accurate. Scope cannot, however, independently verify the reliability and accuracy of the information and data. Scope’s ratings, rating reports, rating opinions, or related research and credit opinions are provided “as is” without any representation or warranty of any kind. In no circumstance shall Scope or its directors, officers, employees and other representatives be liable to any party for any direct, indirect, incidental or otherwise damages, expenses of any kind, or losses arising from any use of Scope’s ratings, rating reports, rating opinions, related research or credit opinions. Ratings and other related credit opinions issued by Scope are, and have to be viewed by any party, as opinions on relative credit risk and not as a statement of fact or recommendation to purchase, hold or sell securities. Past performance does not necessarily predict future results. Any report issued by Scope is not a prospectus or similar document related to a debt security or issuing entity. Scope issues credit ratings and related research and opinions with the understanding and expectation that parties using them will assess independently the suitability of each security for investment or transaction purposes. Scope’s credit ratings address relative credit risk, they do not address other risks such as market, liquidity, legal, or volatility. The information and data included herein is protected by copyright and other laws. To reproduce, transmit, transfer, disseminate, translate, resell, or store for subsequent use for any such purpose the information and data contained herein, contact Scope Ratings AG at Lennéstraße 5 D-10785 Berlin.

      Rating issued by
      Scope Ratings AG, Lennéstraße 5, 10785 Berlin.
       

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