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      Hungary: fiscal outlook hinges on economic recovery and spending discipline

      22/10/2025 Research EN

      Hungary: fiscal outlook hinges on economic recovery and spending discipline

      With only slowly recovering economic growth and structurally high interest costs, Hungary needs sustained fiscal discipline to ensure budget deficits narrow gradually and debt-to-GDP stabilises before and after parliamentary elections due next spring.

      EU’s complex plan to unlock frozen Russian assets is vital for financing Ukraine

      21/10/2025 Research EN

      EU’s complex plan to unlock frozen Russian assets is vital for financing Ukraine

      The European Commission (EC) has prepared an innovative if complex plan to mobilise seized Russian assets to fund Ukraine. This initiative is critical given the absence of any credible alternative for providing sustained financial support.

      Spain’s renewable energy push risks running into reliability, pricing, investment obstacles

      15/10/2025 Research EN

      Spain’s renewable energy push risks running into reliability, pricing, investment obstacles

      Spain needs to encourage more investment in its electricity grid and storage capacity by allowing utilities to earn higher returns while ensuring growing volumes of renewable energy do not distort market pricing.

      Slovakia: increasing consolidation fatigue challenges medium-term fiscal sustainability

      8/10/2025 Research EN

      Slovakia: increasing consolidation fatigue challenges medium-term fiscal sustainability

      Slovakia’s government is continuing efforts to reduce the budget deficit despite sluggish growth but the risk of missing targets amid worsening fiscal fatigue is rising. Use of temporary measures raises doubts over the durability of the adjustments.

      European electricity: Germany, Netherlands, Belgium grapple with EUR 200bn-plus grid capex challenge

      7/10/2025 Research EN

      European electricity: Germany, Netherlands, Belgium grapple with EUR 200bn-plus grid capex challenge

      Germany, the Netherlands and Belgium need far more investment to modernise their electricity transmission grids through 2034 than southern European countries, hence the importance of having secured most of the EUR 200bn-plus in required funding.

      Poland: fiscal slippage contained by EU financing; political divides impede budget consolidation

      2/10/2025 Research EN

      Poland: fiscal slippage contained by EU financing; political divides impede budget consolidation

      Poland’s structurally embedded spending increases and wider budget deficits highlight its fiscal vulnerabilities as institutional gridlock hampers any durable adjustment. Yet resilient growth and EU financial support are containing debt-servicing costs.

      US government shutdown reflects deepening political polarisation in credit-negative development

      1/10/2025 Research EN

      US government shutdown reflects deepening political polarisation in credit-negative development

      The latest government shutdown in the United States occurred as a result of policy disagreements between Republicans and Democrats on issues such as healthcare, but it reflects the country’s deepening political polarisation.

      US pharma tariffs redirect investment, spreading credit risk unevenly across sector’s value chain

      29/9/2025 Research EN

      US pharma tariffs redirect investment, spreading credit risk unevenly across sector’s value chain

      US plans to slap hefty tariffs on pharmaceutical imports have led European firms to speed up US investment and reset supply chains, the full credit impact of which will depend on the products targeted and whether the extra costs compromise innovation.

      Ukrainian debt sustainability challenges remain heightened as new IMF programme talks accelerate

      29/9/2025 Research EN

      Ukrainian debt sustainability challenges remain heightened as new IMF programme talks accelerate

      As Russia’s war in Ukraine war drags on with no end in sight, the challenges for Ukraine’s debt sustainability and finances are mounting. Addressing them requires the use of frozen Russian reserves. Deeper debt restructuring should also be considered.

      LANXESS plan to sell stake in Envalior underpins commitment to deleveraging, stabilising ratings

      26/9/2025 Research EN

      LANXESS plan to sell stake in Envalior underpins commitment to deleveraging, stabilising ratings

      LANXESS moves to divest Envalior stake, supporting deleveraging strategy and investment-grade credit metrics